CoinMarketCal
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View in browser Issue #12 · September 29, 2026 |
NEAR ETF day, INJ burn and mainnet breakout setups
BTC and ETH are both down a little over 3% on the week, but the market outside BTC has held up better and BTC dominance has slipped. That keeps selective event-driven alt trades in play: INJ has the cleanest near-term tokenomics setup, MOCA is trying to confirm a mainnet breakout, RUNE is close to a pre-event trigger, and NEAR looks strong but crowded into ETF day.
Market pulse — Mixed
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BTC
$83,955
-3.6% 7d
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ETH
$2,717
-3.1% 7d
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Market ex-BTC
$1.28T
-0.9% 7d
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BTC Dominance
56.7%
-0.7 pts 7d
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Trade crypto on Bybit
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Trade ideas — catalysts landing soon
Tomorrow · 30 Sep · Airdrop/Snapshot, Tokenomics
Buyback burn |
HIGH
7.5
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| PRICE | −42% vs 12m high
Near the upper end of its 3-month range
30d +46% |
| SECTOR | Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
30d +38% |
The Sept. 30 buyback burn is a clear next-day tokenomics catalyst, and INJ has already pulled back from the $8.18 close on Sept. 25 and the $8.66 high on Sept. 24 to a $7.41 close on Sept. 28. That reset makes a fresh entry more reasonable than chasing strength. The setup works if the rebound holds above weekly support at $7.33 and keeps reclaiming today's move toward $7.75-$7.77, with $8.32 as the nearest resistance to test. A daily close back under $7.33 would weaken the recovery. If already long, trimming on another rejection near $8.32 is reasonable.
Today · 29 Sep · Release
Mainnet launch |
HIGH
7.5
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| PRICE | −86% vs 12m high
Near the upper end of its 3-month range
30d +24% |
| SECTOR | Decentralized Identifier (DID)
30d +22% |
Moca Chain mainnet goes live today, and price is trying to reclaim the $0.0108 daily resistance that capped the Sept. 28 close at $0.0101. With the token now around $0.0110, the cleaner entry is a confirmed daily close above $0.0108 rather than an intraday chase. If that holds, weekly resistance at $0.0121 is the next nearby level to watch. If the move fades back under $0.0101, or especially under today's $0.0096 low, the breakout attempt is failing. If already long, a stall into $0.0121 is a spot to de-risk.
By 04 Oct · Release
Monero & Zcash chains |
HIGH
7.5
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| PRICE | −36% vs 12m high
Near the upper end of its 3-month range
30d +64% |
| SECTOR | Decentralized Exchange (DEX)
30d +46% |
The Oct. 4 Monero and Zcash chain addition matters most to THORChain because it expands the network's native asset support and pools. RUNE has strong momentum, up 17.8% on the week and near 90-day highs, but it is sitting just under weekly resistance at $0.8189 after Sept. 27 tagged $0.8420 intraday and still closed at $0.7599. The cleaner trade is a daily close above $0.8189, not a chase underneath it. If a breakout cannot hold and price falls back below $0.7738, the pre-event squeeze is fading. If already long, another failure under $0.8189 would justify some profit-taking.
Today · 29 Sep · Regulation
Bitwise NEAR ETF debut |
HIGH
8.0
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| PRICE | −7% vs 12m high
Near the upper end of its 3-month range
30d +166% |
| SECTOR | Artificial Intelligence (AI)
30d +72% |
The Bitwise NEAR launch is a meaningful access catalyst, but NEAR is already up 166% in 30 days and trading only 7% below its 12-month high. After reaching a $5.57 high on Sept. 27 and closing Sept. 28 at $4.82, today's recovery to about $5.02 still leaves it below the $5.38 highest recent close. A fresh entry looks better only if price can reclaim $5.38 and then lean on weekly resistance at $5.86. If it slips back through $4.68, the launch-day bid is not holding. If already long, another rejection in the $5.38-$5.57 area is a reasonable place to lock some gains.
Coming up — major events
| 15 Oct |  fil |
HIGH |
FIL's vesting program ends, cutting gross issuance by roughly 75%, the largest supply change since mainnet launch. |
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| Q3 2026 |  sol |
HIGH |
Alpenglow is a long-term consensus upgrade using BLS cryptography to tighten timing and cut finalization latency while preserving safety. |
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| Q3 2026 |  safe |
HIGH |
Safenet moves from observing transactions to enforcing protection onchain inside everyday account operations. |
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| By 20 Oct |  kntq |
HIGH |
Elysium, Kinetiq's value-accretive L2 for Hyperliquid, launches its mainnet following the four-week public test run that begins with the 22 September testnet. |
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Just added — further ahead
| 21 Oct |  aero |
HIGH |
Aero launches across seven chains: Base, Ethereum Mainnet, Arc, OP Mainnet, Ink, Robinhood Chain, and Arbitrum. |
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| 23 Oct |  sei |
HIGH |
The REXShares and Osprey Funds Staked SEI ETF filing is set to become effective on October 23. |
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© 2026 CoinMarketCal.
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